Congress is going to win 2014 AP elections

I can now safely predict that Congress will be the winner in 2014 Andhra Pradesh elections. Remember - I am saying it will be Andhra Pradesh. Let me explain how it is likely to happen. As I discussed in my earlier blog this month, fear is already introduced into the Congress "leaders" mind. With all the JAC related drama of the last two days, but for 2 Congress MLA's (Muthyam and Damodar Reddy) none have resigned. Now all the Congress leaders are fearing the worst - "disgrace from the party high command" while "Telangana Reddy brothers" repenting their decision already.

All Andhra and Rayalaseema Congress leaders are silent as they see - Srikrishna commission is not likely to get Telangana state. Having sensed this truth they are concentrating their energies elsewhere.

In a nutshell, Congress is getting all it's leaders under control with the fear factor. With Congress leaders developing cold feet - for Joint Action Committee and Kodandaram, already resources are depleting fast. TDP leaders are already having a problem with Kodandaram - the future of JAC is very bleak.

Now the only major issue for the Congress is Osmania University. Students are the mass. They think they could do anything (may be seeing dialogues in some Tollywood movies) under illusionary confidence. Hence we are seeing all the heat and emotions. This will have to be brought down to normal state. For this, only route will be to break them or otherwise convince them about the consequences. With depleting resources, and breaking up of JAC, the Congress leaders would be asked by high command to prevail on the students. This will happen in coming weeks and probably TRS would also join to pacify the situation. The next manta will be let's wait for Srikrishna commission findings and have faith in Sonia.

It is easy to convince the students with message "it is Congress and TRS, eventually will get Telangana state". Telugu Desam Party and for that matter Nara Chandrababu Naidu have lost all the credibility. Despite the hard fact that current Government is hopeless, looking back from where we were - the situation is gradually improving. For the first time Assembly sessions are going on reasonably well. However, Chandrababu Naidu's nonchalance on the entire episode neither won him Andhra nor Telengana people confidence. I wonder what level of credibility Srikrishna commission would bestow, even if Naidu would go and present his views with facts and figures.

Chiranjeevi does not have strength in case. His strong support for united Andhra Pradesh might have soothed feelings of some sections in society but, he would be looser albeit on lesser scale compared to Chandrababu Naidu.

By 2012 /13, TRS would join Congress in some form or other and Prajarajyam patry (PRP) if exists still, it will merge with Congress. With two opposite poles merging in to Congress, status quo will be continued till 2014 and Telangana will be in the Congress election manifesto again - of course with Congress mark wording. We will see, a Congress Chief Minister from Telangana and a Deputy Chief Minister from Andhra / Rayalaseema.

Chandrababu Naidu will get the Opposition leader status for the third consecutive term in the Assembly and that is a record for any politician in India!