These days, Chandrababu Naidu turned himself very busy. He took a long jump from rural Andhra Pradesh where is running mee kosam journey to Delhi. Probably, Naidu got into a flash memory when he played a role of King Maker in later 1990's. Unfortunately, for Chandrababu Naidu all these sudden and hurried moves to cash on the political volatility will prove even more disastrous for his political future than the exodus he is facing in his Telugu Desam Party recently.
When he played key role in making Third Front PM's or going hand in hand with BJP to support the NDA Government, Naidu was undisputed leader of the Andhra Pradesh. At that time, Telugu Desam Party was at pinnacle of glory. Naidu's fortune was running high. He got 30+ MP's in the Loksabha. He was considered modern, progressive and model Chief Minister (like our current Andhra Pradesh CM#1 - Dr Y S Rajasekhar Reddy as said by Sonia Gandhi)
Today Chandrababu Naidu position is radically different. He is no more the Chief Minister. He is not even considered as a CM in waiting. His political authority is waning. His trusted political lieutenants deserted the party and making Chandrababu Naidu a mockery. Compared to the role he played as King Maker last time, this time he is lacking base. This is the fundamental for him to play a role in the national level.
Other point is - he is joining with political leaders and those parties that lacked any sound policies for the national and regional level. All these party are joining together to meet their opportunistic goals than truly opposing the Nuclear deal with US on merit. Karat and Yechury were with Government until a fortnight ago and now they are opposing the deal for ideological reasons. Mayawati is at the centre stage due to her dalit origin, her current political power and more importantly due to the fact the Samajwadi Party joined hands with UPA. Dave Gowda is the least trustworthy of the untrustworthy politicians in India. Ajit Singh does not know what he wants to achieve but he sits there to extrct some juice for himself. TRS lead by K Chandrasekhara Rao is in the process of writing their political obituary. This opportunity is the last chance to something for them (do or die battle). Until recently, KCR is Chandra Babu Naidu's biggest vocal critic. JMM including their leaders do not know what they are up to. Only person missing in this list is J Jayalalithaa - because she is not having any numbers to add or delete.
BJP fundamental goal is to defeat the Government. This will give them an opportunity to form the next Government. I am sure if BJP form the next Government after elections, they will go and sign the nuclear deal as is or with little modifications.
Left may comeback with the numbers they have got now in the next election. And left parties numbers are needed for anyone to form the Government. But left won't support BJP. If this is the case, Mayawati and the Third front will have a choice to form the next Government. Great!
But for Chandra Babu Naidu, this will not give any advantage or any opportunity. Looking at his current position in Andhra Pradesh, his Loksabha numbers will comedown.
So what will he gain! Nothing. By spending all his energy and time in Delhi, Chandra Babu Naidu took a wrong step. More over, if the UPA Government falls and election happen soon - then Babu position will be even miserable. If at all, a late election may give Telugu Desam party some life.
In all Chandra Babu Naidu appears to be the biggest looser in this drama!
20th July 2008
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